Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 80.2%
Neutral zone
Colton 71.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mittelstadt
Colton
Last 9: Mittelstadt 6-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
52.1% (741)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
48.3% (60)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
47.7% (583)
54.0% (411)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
50.0%
56.7%
P2
46.2%
53.1%
P3
45.5%
46.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |