Casey Mittelstadt vs Ross Colton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Colton 51.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 73.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 64.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Mittelstadt
Colton
Last 10: Mittelstadt 7-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
3
Mittelstadt
Colton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
3
4
Mittelstadt
Colton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Colton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.6% (1,800)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
48.8% (162)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
34.5% (29)
+3.0%
On even strength, Colton has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
46.7% (2,316)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
46.8%
53.5%
P2
46.1%
52.6%
P3
44.0%
47.9%
OT
36.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ross Colton |