Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 78.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
4
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
58.4% (310)
-12.3%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
66.7% (6)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
53.0% (83)
-3.0%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Home
47.3% (224)
57.1% (184)
Away
50.7% (217)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
P1
51.8%
56.0%
P2
51.0%
56.6%
P3
44.9%
58.0%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |