Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
55.3% (515)
-10.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
55.6% (9)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.8% (58)
-4.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Home
46.0% (491)
57.3% (293)
Away
42.4% (512)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
P1
44.0%
53.8%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
41.9%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |