Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 93.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 78.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
1
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
9
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
11
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.5% (5,141)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
56.0% (100)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
44.2% (1,086)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Home
46.7% (2,316)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
P1
46.8%
51.1%
P2
46.1%
49.9%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
OT
36.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |