Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Last 5: Mittelstadt 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
52.3% (982)
-6.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
41.9% (43)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
39.2% (245)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
Home
47.2% (193)
50.3% (680)
Away
42.9% (259)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuraly
P1
49.0%
49.5%
P2
45.7%
49.6%
P3
38.8%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |