Casey Mittelstadt vs Seth Jarvis
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Last 10: Mittelstadt 8-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
1
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
42.0% (352)
+3.0%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
43.7% (119)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
38.2% (157)
-0.7%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
46.7% (2,316)
43.8% (336)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
46.8%
39.7%
P2
46.1%
39.5%
P3
44.0%
46.1%
OT
36.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |