Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Jarvis 46.0% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 51.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 55.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
39.5% (43)
+12.1%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
33.3% (6)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (14)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
60.7% (89)
41.7% (36)
Away
43.1% (65)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
46.3%
35.0%
P2
52.9%
43.5%
P3
58.6%
38.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Jarvis
38.0%▲
36.5%
39.7%