Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 84.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
32.1% (81)
+12.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
38.6% (57)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
28.6% (14)
+11.4%
On even strength, Mittelstadt has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
46.0% (491)
40.6% (69)
Away
42.4% (512)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
44.0%
30.9%
P2
46.4%
30.6%
P3
41.9%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |