Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.0%). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 53.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 61.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
45.8% (24)
+0.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
0.0% (1)
+47.3%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
47.2% (193)
27.3% (11)
Away
42.9% (259)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
49.0%
58.3%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
38.8%
14.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%