Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
44.2% (52)
+6.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
33.3% (6)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
59.3% (91)
43.6% (39)
Away
42.5% (80)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
48.8%
37.5%
P2
49.1%
48.3%
P3
56.7%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%