Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
37.5% (24)
+7.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
0.0% (1)
+49.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
0.0% (1)
+40.6%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
45.1% (366)
38.5% (13)
Away
46.8% (370)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
41.1%
40.0%
P2
51.1%
20.0%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |