Chandler Stephenson vs Connor McDavid
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs McDavid 53.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stephenson
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Stephenson
McDavid
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
3
Stephenson
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
7
Stephenson
McDavid
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
54.3% (1,002)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
44.8% (29)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
33.3% (15)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McDavid
Home
53.3% (634)
53.6% (507)
Away
50.7% (621)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Stephenson
McDavid
P1
50.7%
52.6%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
53.2%
54.9%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |