Chandler Stephenson vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs McDavid 51.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 73.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 66.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Stephenson
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
McDavid
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Stephenson
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Stephenson
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
51.5% (889)
+6.2%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
63.9% (36)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
51.2% (86)
-3.7%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McDavid
Home
56.2% (589)
50.7% (513)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Stephenson
McDavid
P1
58.3%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
51.6%
P3
57.9%
51.7%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |