Chandler Stephenson vs Connor McDavid
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs McDavid 51.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Stephenson
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stephenson
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Stephenson
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.6% (803)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
50.0% (40)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
36.4% (22)
+7.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McDavid
Home
52.5% (499)
51.8% (415)
Away
52.6% (551)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Stephenson
McDavid
P1
50.2%
47.5%
P2
55.7%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
55.5%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |