Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.3%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs Larkin 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Stephenson
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Stephenson
Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
1
Stephenson
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
51.8% (903)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
56.0% (225)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
47.4% (76)
+2.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
53.3% (634)
55.6% (662)
Away
50.7% (621)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
50.7%
49.9%
P2
51.2%
52.7%
P3
53.2%
53.0%
OT
70.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |