Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Larkin 55.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Stephenson
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stephenson
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Stephenson
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
55.9% (943)
-4.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
57.4% (244)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
46.2% (106)
-1.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.5% (499)
56.0% (654)
Away
52.6% (551)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
50.2%
54.4%
P2
55.7%
55.9%
P3
50.9%
55.2%
OT
63.6%
64.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |