Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Larkin 54.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 71.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 70.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Stephenson
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stephenson
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
53.6% (886)
+4.1%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
59.3% (317)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
48.7% (152)
-1.2%
On power play, Stephenson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
56.2% (589)
56.6% (700)
Away
60.0% (573)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
58.3%
55.4%
P2
58.3%
54.7%
P3
57.9%
52.7%
OT
54.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |