Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 51.5% vs Larkin 54.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Stephenson 56.6%
Defensive zone Stephenson 60.4%
Neutral zone Stephenson 61.4%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Stephenson Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 10 (14 meetings)
4
10
Stephenson Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Stephenson Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
4
Stephenson Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Stephenson Larkin
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
52.6% (1,117)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
60.7% (305)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
55.9% (177)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.2% (751)
54.7% (783)
Away
51.0% (723)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
50.4%
55.9%
P2
51.5%
56.1%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
51.6%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
54.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 4, 2025 OT 04:53 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 OT 04:38 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 OT 02:13 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 4, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 14:16 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 10:10 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Feb 4, 2025 2 18:25 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 4, 2025 2 10:41 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 1 12:53 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 12, 2025 3 11:02 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2025 2 17:03 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2025 1 14:51 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2025 1 14:27 Defensive Dylan Larkin