Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.7%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Stephenson
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Stephenson
Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
11
7
Stephenson
Larkin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Stephenson
Larkin
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
6
Stephenson
Larkin
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
51.7% (9,019)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
58.5% (2,125)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
50.2% (1,122)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.6% (3,827)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
51.6%
52.7%
P2
52.4%
53.1%
P3
52.8%
52.1%
OT
57.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 04:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 02:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |