Chandler Stephenson vs Dylan Larkin

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.7%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor Stephenson leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone Larkin 55.1%
Neutral zone Larkin 58.1%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Stephenson Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
27 - 22 (49 meetings)
27
22
Stephenson Larkin
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
11
7
Stephenson Larkin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Stephenson Larkin
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
6
Stephenson Larkin
13 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
51.7% (9,019)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
58.5% (2,125)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
50.2% (1,122)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Larkin
Home
52.6% (3,827)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Stephenson
Larkin
P1
51.6%
52.7%
P2
52.4%
53.1%
P3
52.8%
52.1%
OT
57.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
52.4%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 6, 2025 1 08:52 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 6, 2025 1 05:20 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 15:31 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 13:17 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 09:14 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 3 00:33 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 19:41 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 15:55 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 09:37 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 2 05:17 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Nov 18, 2025 2 03:56 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 1 14:18 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 18, 2025 1 10:43 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 4, 2025 OT 04:53 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 OT 04:38 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 OT 02:13 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 4, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 14:16 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 10:10 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson