Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs McCarron 53.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 71.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 60.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Stephenson
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
57.5% (308)
-6.5%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
50.0% (2)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
32.6% (43)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
53.3% (634)
48.3% (147)
Away
50.7% (621)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
50.7%
53.4%
P2
51.2%
59.5%
P3
53.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |