Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs McCarron 54.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 78.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Stephenson
McCarron
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Stephenson
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
54.2% (756)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
55.6% (9)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
55.1% (158)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
52.2% (751)
54.6% (445)
Away
51.0% (723)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
50.4%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |