Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.8%). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McCarron 52.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 79.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 67.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Stephenson
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
53.1% (672)
-1.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
18.2% (11)
+43.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
53.7% (205)
-13.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
53.1% (672)
52.8% (477)
Away
51.1% (554)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
54.6%
56.5%
P2
51.3%
53.2%
P3
51.2%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |