Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.2%). Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs McCarron 52.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 75.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.8%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 53.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stephenson
McCarron
Last 7: Stephenson 5-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Stephenson
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
54.5% (618)
-2.9%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
42.1% (19)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
35.3% (34)
+9.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
52.5% (499)
52.2% (339)
Away
52.6% (551)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
50.2%
53.5%
P2
55.7%
50.6%
P3
50.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |