Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.8%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs McCarron 52.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 82.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 73.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Stephenson
McCarron
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
2
Stephenson
McCarron
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
5
Stephenson
McCarron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Stephenson
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
53.4% (2,901)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
45.3% (86)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
50.5% (463)
-4.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
51.6%
53.9%
P2
52.4%
52.5%
P3
52.8%
52.0%
OT
57.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |