Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.4%). Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 56.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson
Aho
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Stephenson
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Stephenson
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
51.6% (819)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
58.4% (173)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
53.3% (634)
53.9% (568)
Away
50.7% (621)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
51.2%
51.2%
P3
53.2%
50.9%
OT
70.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |