Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Aho 53.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Stephenson
Aho
Last 10: Stephenson 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
3
Stephenson
Aho
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
2
Stephenson
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.2% (785)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
63.8% (213)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
57.9% (57)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
52.5% (499)
54.9% (548)
Away
52.6% (551)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
50.2%
52.8%
P2
55.7%
58.9%
P3
50.9%
50.6%
OT
63.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |