Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Aho 51.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 69.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 85.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 82.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stephenson
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
48.5% (778)
+9.2%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
63.4% (191)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
50.8% (65)
-3.3%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
56.2% (589)
51.3% (530)
Away
60.0% (573)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
58.3%
50.0%
P2
58.3%
51.3%
P3
57.9%
52.1%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |