Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Aho 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 75.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 68.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stephenson
Aho
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Stephenson
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Stephenson
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
49.9% (851)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
53.5% (144)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
43.3% (60)
-3.4%
On power play, Stephenson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
53.1% (672)
53.2% (554)
Away
51.1% (554)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
54.6%
49.1%
P2
51.3%
50.8%
P3
51.2%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |