Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 58.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 76.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 58.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stephenson
Aho
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
6
Stephenson
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
54.5% (870)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
62.4% (266)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
37.1% (62)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
52.2% (751)
53.9% (603)
Away
51.0% (723)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
50.4%
54.1%
P2
51.5%
55.0%
P3
53.3%
57.4%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |