Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Hertl
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Stephenson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Stephenson
Hertl
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
3
Stephenson
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Stephenson
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Stephenson
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
54.1% (1,117)
+3.6%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
59.8% (296)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
34.4% (32)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hertl
Home
56.2% (589)
54.3% (709)
Away
60.0% (573)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Stephenson
Hertl
P1
58.3%
51.6%
P2
58.3%
53.6%
P3
57.9%
58.6%
OT
54.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |