Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Hertl 54.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 41-29 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 59.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 61.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 59.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Stephenson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
41
(70 meetings)
29
41
Stephenson
Hertl
Last 10: Stephenson 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
12
16
Stephenson
Hertl
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
13
17
Stephenson
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
8
Stephenson
Hertl
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
53.8% (8,268)
-1.9%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
59.3% (1,975)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
46.3% (806)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hertl
Home
52.6% (3,827)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Stephenson
Hertl
P1
51.6%
53.6%
P2
52.4%
54.1%
P3
52.8%
55.3%
OT
57.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |