Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Hertl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Stephenson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Stephenson
Hertl
Last 8: Stephenson 5-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Stephenson
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
0
Stephenson
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
54.1% (717)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
61.9% (210)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
58.1% (31)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hertl
Home
52.2% (751)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.0% (723)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Stephenson
Hertl
P1
50.4%
57.1%
P2
51.5%
54.0%
P3
53.3%
56.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |