Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.7% vs Cozens 52.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 75.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Coyle
Cozens
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
2
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Coyle
Cozens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (798)
52.6% (606)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
58.5% (94)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
33.3% (6)
+12.4%
On power play, Cozens has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
49.0% (537)
54.1% (375)
Away
52.7% (495)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.5%
55.8%
P2
49.7%
50.6%
P3
53.0%
53.7%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
62.0%▲
52.0%
50.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |