Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Cozens 45.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 84.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Coyle
Cozens
Last 8: Coyle 7-1 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
46.7% (786)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
43.9% (171)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
42.3% (189)
+1.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
54.5% (719)
46.2% (567)
Away
48.8% (758)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
51.1%
46.5%
P2
50.0%
46.5%
P3
53.3%
44.2%
OT
57.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |