Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Cozens 48.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 64.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Coyle
Cozens
Last 9: Coyle 3-6 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
3
Coyle
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.4% (859)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
49.5% (186)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
39.5% (129)
+8.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
53.3% (512)
49.0% (600)
Away
51.9% (507)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
53.8%
46.5%
P2
47.8%
52.9%
P3
56.7%
45.2%
OT
38.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |