Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Cozens 50.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 78.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Cozens
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
51.4% (891)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
50.5% (184)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
42.4% (85)
+1.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
47.4% (409)
49.5% (638)
Away
50.0% (360)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
50.8%
51.9%
P2
46.0%
46.4%
P3
48.4%
54.2%
OT
64.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |