Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Cozens 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
27
(55 meetings)
28
27
Coyle
Cozens
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
7
Coyle
Cozens
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
12
6
Coyle
Cozens
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
14
Coyle
Cozens
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.9% (4,075)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
50.4% (714)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
41.0% (439)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
49.8% (4,835)
48.2% (2,677)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
48.6% (2,551)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.4%
49.1%
P2
48.3%
47.7%
P3
48.8%
48.8%
OT
49.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |