Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Cozens 46.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 67.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 58.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 59.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Coyle
Cozens
Last 9: Coyle 3-6 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
4
Coyle
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
45.6% (746)
+5.0%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
50.8% (65)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
34.5% (29)
-4.4%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
51.8% (517)
43.9% (410)
Away
46.7% (583)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.2%
46.4%
P2
52.8%
41.6%
P3
44.8%
49.4%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |