Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Hughes 40.3% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
35.1% (151)
+16.5%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
16.7% (6)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
33.3% (6)
+13.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
47.5% (394)
32.4% (74)
Away
52.8% (411)
36.0% (89)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
49.6%
38.8%
P2
48.9%
27.6%
P3
52.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
45.8%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |