Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Hughes 39.8% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
36.8% (266)
+15.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
14.3% (7)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
33.3% (6)
+11.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
49.0% (537)
35.1% (148)
Away
52.1% (516)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
48.7%
43.0%
P2
49.6%
28.7%
P3
53.1%
35.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |