Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Hughes 40.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 90.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 70.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Hughes
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
3
Coyle
Hughes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Coyle
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
35.6% (281)
+17.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
50.0% (36)
+7.6%
On even strength, Coyle has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
54.5% (719)
38.4% (198)
Away
48.8% (758)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
51.1%
44.3%
P2
50.0%
34.2%
P3
53.3%
34.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |