Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Hughes 39.2% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
37.9% (623)
+11.6%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
33.3% (33)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
36.4% (11)
+7.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
47.4% (409)
36.6% (314)
Away
50.0% (360)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
50.8%
36.4%
P2
46.0%
35.6%
P3
48.4%
41.8%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |