Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
34.9% (444)
+17.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
50.0% (14)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
33.3% (6)
+14.8%
On even strength, Coyle has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
53.3% (512)
37.4% (235)
Away
51.9% (507)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
53.8%
37.1%
P2
47.8%
33.7%
P3
56.7%
34.8%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |