Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Hughes 36.6% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Coyle
Hughes
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
11
Coyle
Hughes
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
11
0
Coyle
Hughes
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
9
Coyle
Hughes
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
36.0% (2,887)
+13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
38.8% (224)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
31.0% (42)
+12.6%
On even strength, Coyle has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
49.8% (4,835)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
49.4%
36.9%
P2
48.3%
33.6%
P3
48.8%
38.1%
OT
49.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | OT | 03:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |