Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Hughes 38.0% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 76.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Hughes
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
3
Coyle
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
34.5% (342)
+16.1%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
42.9% (7)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
25.0% (4)
+5.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
51.8% (517)
32.6% (187)
Away
46.7% (583)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
49.2%
33.9%
P2
52.8%
34.2%
P3
44.8%
36.5%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |