Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Hughes 37.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 81.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Coyle
Hughes
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Coyle
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
0
Coyle
Hughes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
5
Coyle
Hughes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
35.7% (569)
+12.6%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
33.3% (36)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
16.7% (6)
+30.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
52.5% (238)
37.8% (333)
Away
44.6% (269)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
49.7%
38.8%
P2
49.5%
28.3%
P3
46.3%
38.6%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | OT | 03:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |