Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs McBain 44.7% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 54.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 56.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
45.3% (675)
+7.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
50.0% (16)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
37.6% (149)
+10.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
53.3% (512)
45.5% (437)
Away
51.9% (507)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
53.8%
43.5%
P2
47.8%
44.0%
P3
56.7%
45.0%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |