Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 59.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 63.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Coyle
McBain
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Coyle
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
5
Coyle
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.0% (2,298)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
49.0% (51)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
35.7% (308)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
49.4%
46.7%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
48.8%
45.6%
OT
49.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |