Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McBain 49.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 67.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
51.2% (424)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
46.2% (13)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
27.3% (22)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
47.4% (409)
53.6% (235)
Away
50.0% (360)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
46.0%
50.9%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |