Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs McBain 45.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 59.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 55.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 56.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coyle
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
46.3% (568)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
37.5% (8)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
37.8% (74)
+5.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
54.5% (719)
50.6% (330)
Away
48.8% (758)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
51.1%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
44.5%
P3
53.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |