Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 68.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Coyle
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Coyle
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
55.9% (245)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
0.0% (3)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
57.1% (7)
-27.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bjugstad
Home
51.8% (517)
53.2% (111)
Away
46.7% (583)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Coyle
Bjugstad
P1
49.2%
44.6%
P2
52.8%
61.4%
P3
44.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |